You are going to hate me or love me for today’s lock or float suggestion. However, before I get into that, let’s take a look at what is going on today.
I started writing today’s update at about 10:30am, and it is now 11:45 am. Throughout the past hour and fifteen minutes, the market has gotten much worse than it started. Early this morning, the MBS was approx. 16 bps down from yesterday’s price. Currently, the MBS is 28 bps under yesterday’s day end price.
The 10 Year Treasury is doing much of the same. It started out this morning about 48 bps under while, right now, it is almost a full 100 bps under. The DOW is currently up by almost 70 points.
The Durable Good report indicated that businesses are coming up from last month’s debacle. This is going to encourage a stimulated stock market throughout the day today. The FOMC meeting results and policy are set for release tomorrow afternoon.
So, my thought for today as of right now and seeing this morning’s shift (coupled with the economic releases scheduled) is to lock. Pricing will get worse by about .5 this afternoon as banks will most likely jump the gun on the reports and releases (pulling the trigger too early forces other banks to do so as well).
As a side note…ending this report for the day at 11:50, the MBS has dropped to 31 bps down while the 10 Year is at 94 bps down. Good luck to you all, and make sure that you get the Free E-Mail Updates for Mortgage Pricing.